Best scalping trading strategy for GOLD and BTC

 

 A realistic “high win‑rate” scalping system usually targets around 70–85% wins with strict risk management, and even then you will still have losing trades and drawdowns.

Below is a simple, fully rule‑based framework you can test and adapt separately for XAUUSD (gold) and BTCUSDT. It is not financial advice and must be forward‑tested and back‑tested before real money.

Core principles (for both gold and BTC)

• Trade only during high‑liquidity sessions: for gold, London and New York overlap; for BTC, main volatility around London and New York hours

• Use 1–5 minute charts for scalping and accept that many small trades will be taken, not a few big ones.

• Aim for a high but realistic win rate (for example 70–80%), with tight stop losses and fixed take profits.

Indicator setup (example template)

Use the same type of structure on both assets, but optimise parameters separately in back‑tests:

• 50 EMA and 200 EMA for trend direction (above = uptrend, below = downtrend).

• RSI 14 on the same timeframe, focusing on 40–60 as a neutral zone and above/below 50 as trend confirmation

• ATR (Average True Range) on 14 periods to size stop loss dynamically

Step‑by‑step rules: trend‑following scalp (gold example on 1–5 min)

1. Market filter

   • Trade only when 50 EMA is clearly above 200 EMA (bull bias) or clearly below (bear bias). Flat/sideways EMA = no trade.Long setup (only when 50 EMA > 200 EMA)

2. • Wait for price to pull back close to, or slightly below, the 50 EMA without closing beyond the 200 EMA.

   • RSI must be above 50 but below 70 at the candle close (trend continuation, not overbought spike).

   • Entry: enter long on the break of the high of the signal candle that touches/approaches the 50 EMA.

   • Stop loss: 1–1.5x ATR below the low of that candle.

   • Take profit: fixed 1–1.2R, or previous intraday high / nearby resistance.

3. Short setup (mirror rules when 50 EMA < 200 EMA)

   • Price pulls back toward the 50 EMA from below, without closing above the 200 EMA.RSI below 50 but above 30 at close.

   • Entry: break of the low of the signal candle near 50 EMA.​

   • Stop: 1–1.5x ATR above that candle’s high.

   • Take profit: fixed 1–1.2R, or recent swing low.

4. Risk and trade management

   • Risk 0.25–0.5% of account per trade; don’t raise size to “recover” losses.

   • Maximum 3–5 trades per session; stop trading after two consecutive full‑stop losses.

   • Avoid major news events (CPI, NFP, FOMC) where spreads and slippage increase.

Adapting the same logic for Bitcoin scalping

For BTCUSDT or BTCUSD on futures/spot:

• Use the same indicator set (50 EMA, 200 EMA, RSI, ATR) on 1–5 minute charts but account for higher volatility and gaps.

• Widen stops slightly (for example 1.5–2x ATR) and be ready for more noise.

• Prioritise clear ranges or trends: scalpers often buy near support and sell near resistance in tight ranges, or trade clean breakouts with tight stops.

Rules can be kept identical (trend filter, pullback to 50 EMA, RSI confirmation, ATR stop, fixed RR), but you must separately test gold and BTC because behaviour and volatility distribution are different.

About “98% accuracy”

Even institutional and high‑frequency systems do not maintain 98% win rates over long periods across changing conditions. In scalping, a realistic “high win rate” is generally anything above 70–80%, and its edge comes from repetition, stable risk per trade, and strict rule execution. You can work toward very high accuracy in specific market conditions (for example only trading one setup in the strongest trends), but that still will not be 98% every month, and you must plan for losing streaks and regime changes.

If you want, I can convert this into a fully coded checklist you can keep beside your screen (entry, stop, TP, session filters) and suggest how to back‑test it on TradingView without curve‑fitting.