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Price Action and Pre Market Analysis

 



Absolutely. For NIFTY option selling, I’d use a fixed two-stage process:

  1. Pre-market analysis → form a preliminary bias and identify important levels.

  2. After 15 minutes → confirm or reject that bias using actual price action, volume, OI and option-chain behavior.

1. PRE-MARKET NIFTY ANALYSIS — Before 9:15 AM

Step 1 — Check Global Market Sentiment

Check:

  • GIFT NIFTY

  • US market closing

  • Nasdaq

  • S&P 500

  • Dow Jones

  • Asian markets

  • Major overnight news

Purpose: Determine whether NIFTY is likely to open with a bullish, bearish or neutral sentiment.


Step 2 — Check Previous NIFTY Day

Record:

  • Previous day's Open

  • Previous day's High

  • Previous day's Low

  • Previous day's Close

  • Previous day's range

  • Where did NIFTY close relative to the day's range?

Then identify:

Previous Day High (PDH)
Previous Day Low (PDL)
Previous Day Close (PDC)

These become important intraday reference levels.


Step 3 — Identify Major Price-Action Levels

On the 5-minute chart, mark:

  • Previous Day High

  • Previous Day Low

  • Previous Day Close

  • Recent swing high

  • Recent swing low

  • Important support

  • Important resistance

  • Gap-up/gap-down zone

  • Major H-levels

Don't mark too many levels. Focus on levels where price previously reversed, rejected or consolidated.


Step 4 — Check NIFTY Futures

Look at:

  • Futures price

  • Futures premium/discount

  • Change in futures price

  • Futures OI

  • Long buildup

  • Short buildup

  • Long unwinding

  • Short covering

A simple interpretation:

Price ↑ + OI ↑ → Long buildup

Price ↓ + OI ↑ → Short buildup

Price ↑ + OI ↓ → Short covering

Price ↓ + OI ↓ → Long unwinding


Step 5 — Check India VIX

Record:

India VIX = ____

Then classify volatility.

  • Below 15 → Low volatility

  • 15–20 → Moderate/normal trading environment

  • Above 20 → High volatility

For option selling, don't look at VIX alone. Combine it with price action + expected move + event risk.


Step 6 — Analyze NIFTY Option Chain

Check ATM and nearby strikes.

For example, if NIFTY is around 24,000:

Calls: 23,800 / 23,900 / 24,000 / 24,100 / 24,200

Puts: 23,800 / 23,900 / 24,000 / 24,100 / 24,200

Record:

  • Call OI

  • Call OI change

  • Put OI

  • Put OI change

  • Highest Call OI

  • Highest Put OI

  • Call unwinding

  • Put unwinding

  • Fresh Call writing

  • Fresh Put writing


Step 7 — Calculate/Check PCR

Check:

PCR = Put OI ÷ Call OI

Don't use PCR as a standalone buy/sell signal.

Use it together with OI change and price action.


Step 8 — Find Option-Chain Support & Resistance

Example:

If there is strong Put writing around 24,000:

→ 24,000 may become an important support.

If there is strong Call writing around 24,200:

→ 24,200 may become an important resistance.

But verify these levels after market opening because OI can change quickly.


Step 9 — Check Events

Before taking an option-selling position:

  • RBI announcement?

  • Fed event?

  • Inflation data?

  • GDP data?

  • Major global event?

  • Budget/event day?

  • Expiry?

  • Major corporate/news event?

Event day = adjust risk substantially.


Step 10 — Create Preliminary Bias

Now classify NIFTY:

🟢 Bullish

Conditions may include:

  • Positive global cues

  • Strong futures

  • Support holding

  • Put writing

  • Call unwinding

  • Higher-high/higher-low structure

šŸ”“ Bearish

Conditions may include:

  • Negative global cues

  • Weak futures

  • Resistance rejection

  • Call writing

  • Put unwinding

  • Lower-high/lower-low structure

🟔 Neutral/Range

Conditions may include:

  • Price between major levels

  • Call + Put writing

  • Low volatility

  • No strong directional catalyst

  • Repeated rejection from both sides

Important: Pre-market bias is only a hypothesis, not your final trade signal.


2. FIRST 15-MINUTE ANALYSIS — 9:15 to 9:30

This is the most important confirmation stage.

Step 11 — Observe the Opening

Don't immediately trade.

Observe:

  • Gap up?

  • Gap down?

  • Flat opening?

  • Gap filling?

  • Strong buying?

  • Strong selling?

  • Immediate rejection?

Mark:

9:15–9:30 High

9:15–9:30 Low

This becomes your initial opening range.


Step 12 — Study the First 3 Candles

On the 5-minute chart, analyze the first three candles.

Look for:

  • Large bullish candles

  • Large bearish candles

  • Long upper wick

  • Long lower wick

  • Doji

  • Rejection

  • Inside candle

  • Breakout

  • Failed breakout

The wick + closing position is particularly important.


Step 13 — Compare Price With Your H-Levels

Ask:

Did NIFTY respect the level or break it?

For example:

Resistance:

Resistance → Price → Rejection

Potential bearish signal.

Or:

Resistance → Breakout → Retest → Hold

Potential bullish signal.

Don't sell just because price touches resistance.


Step 14 — Check VWAP

After 15 minutes:

  • Price above VWAP

  • Price below VWAP

  • VWAP rejection

  • VWAP reclaim

  • VWAP + support alignment

  • VWAP + resistance alignment

A useful framework:

Above VWAP + higher highs → bullish

Below VWAP + lower lows → bearish

Around VWAP → potentially choppy


Step 15 — Check Volume

Compare the opening volume with recent candles.

Look for:

Price breakout + strong volume

versus

Price breakout + weak volume

The second situation can indicate a potential false breakout, but it requires confirmation.


Step 16 — Recheck Option Chain

Now compare the option chain with your pre-market data.

Ask:

Did the OI confirm the price movement?

For example:

NIFTY rising + Put OI increasing + Call OI decreasing

→ bullish confirmation.

NIFTY falling + Call OI increasing + Put OI decreasing

→ bearish confirmation.

But remember that OI interpretation should be combined with option prices and underlying price action.


Step 17 — Check PCR Again

Compare:

Pre-market PCR → 9:30 PCR

Ask:

  • PCR increasing?

  • PCR decreasing?

  • Significant change?

  • Is price confirming the change?

Don't trade based on a single PCR number.


Step 18 — Identify the Actual Trading Range

By 9:30, identify:

Support = ______

Resistance = ______

Opening Range High = ______

Opening Range Low = ______

VWAP = ______

Major H-Level = ______

Now you have a much clearer map.


3. FINAL BIAS AFTER 15 MINUTES

Use this decision structure:

🟢 BULLISH BIAS

Prefer bullish/put-selling setups when:

  • Price above VWAP

  • Higher-high/higher-low structure

  • Important support holding

  • Put writing/Put OI support

  • Call unwinding or weak Call resistance

  • Opening-range high gets accepted/broken

  • Volume confirms movement

Action: Look for a Put-selling setup, preferably after a suitable reversal/retest rather than blindly selling immediately.


šŸ”“ BEARISH BIAS

Prefer bearish/call-selling setups when:

  • Price below VWAP

  • Lower-high/lower-low structure

  • Resistance holding

  • Call writing

  • Put unwinding

  • Opening-range low breaks

  • Volume confirms weakness

Action: Look for a Call-selling setup after confirmation/retest.


🟔 NEUTRAL BIAS

If:

  • Price is trapped between support/resistance

  • VWAP is flat

  • Both Call and Put writing are strong

  • No clear breakout

  • Candles are overlapping

  • Volume is weak

Action: Avoid forcing a directional trade.

This is particularly important for option sellers because choppy markets can look attractive due to premium decay but can suddenly expand in volatility.


4. YOUR COMPLETE NIFTY CHECKLIST

Use this every morning:

PRE-MARKET

  • Global markets

  • GIFT NIFTY

  • Previous-day OHLC

  • PDH

  • PDL

  • PDC

  • Major support

  • Major resistance

  • H-levels

  • NIFTY futures

  • Futures OI

  • India VIX

  • Option-chain Call OI

  • Option-chain Put OI

  • Call OI change

  • Put OI change

  • PCR

  • Major events

  • Expected opening

  • Preliminary bias

9:15–9:30

  • Opening type

  • First 3 × 5-minute candles

  • Opening-range high

  • Opening-range low

  • VWAP

  • Volume

  • Price structure

  • H-level reaction

  • Support/resistance reaction

  • Option-chain change

  • PCR change

  • Futures/OI confirmation

  • Breakout or rejection

  • Final bias

BEFORE OPTION SELLING

  • Is the direction clear?

  • Is price at a logical level?

  • Is there confirmation?

  • Is volatility suitable?

  • Is the strike sufficiently away from spot?

  • Is there a defined SL?

  • Is there a defined target?

  • Is the risk/reward acceptable?

  • Is there an event risk?

  • Is the setup better than simply staying out?

The most important rule

Don't predict NIFTY from pre-market data.

Use:

Pre-market = PLAN

First 15 minutes = CONFIRMATION

Price Action = FINAL DECISION

For option selling, the sequence should ideally be:

Level → Price reaction → VWAP/structure → Volume → Option-chain confirmation → Entry → SL → Target

This will prevent you from taking a trade simply because PCR, OI, or global cues "look bullish."

Price Action and Pre Market Analysis Price Action and Pre Market Analysis Reviewed by Admin team on August 22, 2026 Rating: 5

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